Glossary

Arrival Bias

Related topics: Arrival Fallacy

Arrival bias is the assumption that once you "arrive" at a new role, income or milestone, things will be better. It confuses situational change with structural change—new contexts introduce new constraints. Without redesigning systems and habits, old patterns reappear in a different setting.

Seeing through arrival bias doesn't mean goals are irrelevant; it means the outcome is only as valuable as the system it upgrades.